There was quite the fight to get into the break today as the peloton rode at high pace throughout. Many wanted to get into it and even Contador were about to catch Valverde off guard in the race. But when it came to the end all of the GC contenders were in the mix and they all closed down Gesink who had been leading the way for so long. Fabio Aru exploited this position and went for it when there were less than a kilometer to go to the top. This seemed like a perfect time to do it and Chris Froome did not respond in time. This allowed Aru to take his first stage win in this Vuelta and had him move up the ranks for the red jersey.
And as for our betting tips they also did very good this day so no complaints in that department. Let us hope we can keep it up. The day did not fare as well for Nairo Quintana who after crashing at the time trial managed to crash again today and had to forfeit the race. He probably were in no position to compete for the red jersey, or maybe even stage wins has he had looked very slow this tour. Let us hope he can make a healthy comeback and be ready for next season!
Logroño to Logroño – Stage 12 Preview
An exciting day in the mountains which saw some quite high paced riding from the peloton. Will we see the same from the group when the stage is flat? I do think we will as the points classification is still open and there are plenty of points to grab tomorrow. I don’t expect any breaks to be able to form. Some will certainly try, but the stage is so flat that it needs to be really big and coordinated for it to be successful. The stage is also a lot shorter than most others so they might allow themselves to ride harder here as well.
Obviously Bouhanni and Degenkolb are the big favorites here and we believe it will be a fight between these unless someone can get off a well timed attack to surprise them or somehow get in a break, but we do not think that will happen.
Given that this race is going to go fast we want to see who are in better shape to keep up with said speed. We start out with a one who seems to have the right name for speed, namely the Italian veteran Roberto Ferrari riding for Lampre-Merida. He has looked good in the flat stages and will probably get going again today. Debusschere also have done good, but slacked at the last one in stage 8.
Next one is between two GC contenders and we believe that Contador looks like the favorite to take it here, but Froome is better on the flat stages. With these odds we will gladly take the bet as Froome should be the favorite among these two.
Last one is between two riders that are quite evenly matched, but we feel that the rising French star riding for Giant-Shimano, Warren Barguil, has the edge in the flat stages. He likes it speedy and will be able to follow with ease. Daniel Martin is no scrub though and can keep this interesting, but we feel that there is plenty value in this bet.
Match-Up: Roberto Ferrari to beat Jens Debusschere, 1.83 @ Bet365
Match-Up: Chris Froome to beat Alberto Contador, 2.00 @ Bet365
Match-Up: Warren Barguil to beat Daniel Martin, 2.05 @ William Hill