I decided to take a few days off the betting tips as I took a trip away from the city and out in the wilderness. Been having some relaxing days out and about, and now I am ready to get back and try to win some money in this Vuelta that still have several stages where things can be shaken up.
The GC contest seems to have already been decided as Alberto Contador has a solid lead that he increased even further in todays stage, but there are still 3 mountain stages left where anything can happen. Even the sprinting stage of tomorrow can happen at too high a pace and accidents or maybe energy goes out of him. But given how he has looked the past days (and all through the race) we do not foresee anyone toppling him. But I am betting they are gonna give it a solid try still.
Ortigueira to A Coruña – Stage 17 Preview
The riders have had a tough time in the mountains, but after a day of rest tomorrow we are seeing a long, flat stage presented for the riders. I guess that the tempo will still be kept up high, even though Contador would be content with preserving his energy here. Don’t expect to see much shenanigans among those in the top 10, but Froome needs to make something happen if he wants to push himself at the top of the throne.
Again this stage is a prime candidate for the sprinters, and since the bigger sprinters in Peter Sagan and Nacer Bouhanni has dropped out of the Vuelta before the grueling mountain stages in order to prepare for the World Championship, it is now Degenkolbs stage to win. He is the clear favorite to take it here although there are possible upsets. Don’t expect there to be able to form a solid break and expect the peloton to come in with the powerhouses.
We will start off easy here, and as always with these sprinting stages we will abstain from placing a winner bet. There is simply too high a chance that Degenkolb takes this, but at the same time such low odds on him to do it. Not worth it and we are having some problems coming up with decent alternatives.
Thus we would rather take a look at some matchups that we think present good value at this stage. One of them is Rodriguez to edge out Moreno. This is a peculiar bet given that this is a flat stage as none of these are recognized for their sprinting skills, but it is weird having Moreno as the clear favorite here. Rodriguez has a chance (albeit slim) to claim the GC overall win, and even greater chance at the podium and we know he will fight for this spot. We believe he will give it an extra go here to not lose to much time and Moreno has basically nothing to race for here.
Finally there is a race between two racers that also are looking to get a podium finish at the end of all this and we believe that Valverde has the edge in this specific race. He is definitely the stronger in the mountains, but he is also more than able to keep up with the peloton should a pace be put up. Both have potential to take it all, but Valverde is currently in second place and will be fighting the hardest. Given he is better and has higher motivation we really like his chances here.
Match-Up: Joaquim Rodriguez to beat Daniel Moreno, 2.25 @ William Hill
Match-Up: Alejandro Valverde to beat Daniel Martin, 1.85 @ William Hill